Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Most surveys predict NDA victory as Mahagathbandhan trails; counting begins Nov 14 under tight security.
Exit poll results for Bihar in 2025: This live blog’s updates are now complete. According to the exit polls for the 2025 Bihar assembly elections, the majority of pollsters predict that the BJP-JDU-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will win handily, with the Mahagathbandhan coming in a far cry in second place. But with a range of 121–141 seats, Axis My India predicted a slim victory for the NDA and provided the
seats for Mahagathbandhan 98–118.
Exit poll predictions for the Bihar assembly elections were made public starting at 6:30 p.m. on Tuesday, just after the second and final round of voting ended.
When counting starts at 8 am on November 14 under high security in all 38 districts, exit poll numbers might not match the final results.
Describe an exit poll.
A post-election survey used to ascertain voter preferences and forecast the likely outcome of an election is known as an exit poll. These surveys measure how and why the demographic voted and are conducted after voters have left the voting places.
Also read : Nitish Kumar Hails Highest Ever Voter Participation in Bihar’s First Phase Polls
Even while they might not always be precise, they provide a window into the mood of the electorate and provide information about potential trends and swing patterns prior to the official results being declared.
Bihar exit poll 2025: Important details
-Bihar election voting: On November 6 and 11, registration for the Bihar assembly election was opened in two stages. The assembly polls in Bihar will have their vote count on Friday, November 14.
-Exit poll findings for Bihar: The majority made their exit poll predictions public on Tuesday night, just after the second and last round of voting ended. A day later, on Wednesday, Today’s Chanakya and Axis My India released their predictions. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was predicted by the majority of pollsters to win handily, with the Mahagathbandhan coming in a far cry in second. A narrow victory for the NDA is the only prediction made by Axis My India.
-The PK factor: Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, which many believed would be the state’s leading candidate in the 2025 Bihar assembly elections, did not leave a lasting impression. The range of seats that most pollsters gave Kishor’s party was 0–5.
-Voter turnout for the Bihar election: 65.08 percent of voters supported the first phase, while 69.20 percent supported the second. Bihar recorded a “historic high” total voter turnout of 66.91 percent, according to the Election Commission’s announcement announced Tuesday. Since 1951, the state has not seen such a high percentage.
The Bihar assembly, which has 243 members, needs a simple majority of 122 seats in order to form the state’s administration.